TOURISM is:

The most effective and positive public relations medium for the European Union.

Positive benefit

A major force in preserving and promoting the unique cultural heritage of each member state.

An enterprise that encourages friendly rivalry between member states, but which generates the co-operation of all members nations when Europe is promoted as a destination.

An industry that distributes economic benefit more rapidly and widely than other economic enterprises.

An economic asset that distributes its benefits to urban and rural communities.

Encourages increasing domestic travel within the community for its citizens, which enhances their sense of cohesion and community.

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TOURISM DRIVES EUROPE'S ECONOMY

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TOURISM IN EUROPE - to the Year 2005 and beyond

The following are extracts from 'Megatrends', a regularly updated report prepared by the European Travel Commission with the support of the ETC Research Directors and the ETAG Members. The full report can be supplied electronically if requested by email, please use the email form provided.

The European Travel Commission (ETC) has revised its document ‘Megatrends of Tourism in Europe to the Year 2005 and Beyond’ on the basis of ongoing discussions with its members - the National Tourist Offices (NTOs) of Europe - and advice from the European Travel & Tourism Action Group (ETAG), whose members comprise international organisations representing the key tourism industry sectors.

Changes in society - new ways of travel

Society changes continuously, and trends - whether economic, social or lifestyle - subsequently impact on tourism, as tourism is an integral part of our society. It is important for the tourism sector to assess these changes at an early stage. Existing policies regarding products and services, marketing and investments, all demand appropriate adjustments or adaptations when preferences and behaviour develop differently from the way they have done in the past.

In the past, supply has always dictated demand, whereas today the reverse is true. Increasing saturation of the market and more self-assertive consumers, with more free disposable income and leisure time, determine theprofitability of suppliers in the tourism sector.Competition is becoming more volatile. Although some trends are supply-funded, it is also important to forecast trends in demand, as these trends form the basis for determining the time and money required to make the relevant adjustments.

In this overview, we consider trends to be future developments that differ significantly from the past- both quantitatively or qualitatively. The main objective of this analysis is to support suppliers in their longer term policy making. The trends mentioned relate to Western society - and to Europe in particular for the next five years. They are based on various quantitative and qualitative trend analyses and assessments made by leading international tourism experts.

Finally, analysing trends leads us to the conclusion that every trend creates a counter-trend. Furthermore, it should be stressed that, in many cases, trends are mixed: mixed in terms of their phase of development, mixed in results and mixed in the level of importance.Given this fact, it is nearly impossible to isolate tourism development into single trends alone.

DEMOGRAPHY

The number of persons in older age categories will rapidly increase. Seniors will be healthier and will have higher disposable incomes than in the past. Many of them will enjoy early retirement schemes.In view of this development, the number of more experienced senior travellers will increase faster than the development of tourism demand in general (although agradual downgrading of pension benefits, and a trend toincrease the pensionable age may slow down this development in the long run).

Consequences for the tourism sector:

The average number of persons per household will decrease still further, which will result in higher disposable incomes and spending power.

For tourism, this will influence demand in general, and demand for long-haul travel and short breaks in particular.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

HEALTH

Health-consciousness will increase still further.

Though increasing health-consciousness will not influence the volume of demand, it will certainly influence the decision-making with regard to destinations, and behaviour during holidays.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

AWARENESS & EDUCATION

The average level of education is increasing. This will result in holidaymaking in which the arts, culture and history play a more important role, including more educational and spiritual holidaymaking.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

LEISURE TIME

Modern society exerts increasing pressure on peoples’ daily lives, and stimulates the wish for more leisure time and relaxation - which will have an adverse effect on the increase of free disposable incomes. For tourism, this trend is thus by definition unfavourable - also because the increase in the number of days of paid leave for holidaymaking has come to a halt.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

TRAVEL EXPERIENCE

More sophisticated consumers are increasingly self-assured regarding their needs and rights. For tourism, this results in an increasingly critical attitude to quality, and to the price-quality ratio.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

LIFESTYLES

Lifestyles in Western society change gradually. For tourism, this influences the tourist’s perception of his/her personal needs and behaviour.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

The penetration of the internet - and its use for information and the purchasing of tourism products and services - will continue to increase.

For tourism, the role of the internet - including new means of visual presentation - will increase still further, and will prove to be of the utmost importance in future.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

TRANSPORTATION

The increasing availability of high-speed trains and low-cost carriers will influence classical travel flows. Road traffic will face more congestion.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

SUSTAINABILITY

Environmental consciousness will continue to increase. For tourism, this will result in more demand forsustainable destinations, in which nature and populationwill play an increasingly prominent role. In orderto mitigate the costs for sustainability, the price willincreasingly be passed on to the tourists themselves.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

SAFETY & SECURITY

Acts of terrorism, regional wars, pollution and othercrises have unfortunately become facts of daily life, andinfluence the need to feel safe and secure.

In tourism, this results in an increased need for safetyand security, and in tourists avoiding destinations thatare perceived as unsafe.

Consequences for the tourism sector:

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